Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.