Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 79.46%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Niger had a probability of 6.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.11%) and 0-3 (12.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.