World Cup
Canada
Jul 4, 2026 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Houston Stadium
Morocco
  • Richie Laryea 40' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 43' yellowcard
  • Luc De Fougerolles 49' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Redouane Halhal 20'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 40'
  • yellowcard Azzedine Ounahi 45'
  • goal Azzedine Ounahi 50'
  • yellowcard Bilal El Khannouss 45'+6'
  • goal Azzedine Ounahi 82'
  • goal Soufiane Rahimi 90'+8'

Canada vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions

Morocco

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 42.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.95% and a win for Canada had a probability of 28.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%) , while for a Canada win it was 1-0 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Canada 28.75% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 28.95% ▲ (+0.15)
Morocco 42.3% ▼ (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.4% ▼ (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.01% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 35.99% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 37.25% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 2.5 62.75% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 17.85% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 82.15% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 8.66% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 91.34% ▲ (+0.13)

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 24.05% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 75.95% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 7.2% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 92.8% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.27% ▼ (-0.05)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 69.46% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 0.5 30.54% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 1.5 34.08% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 1.5 65.92% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 2.5 12.44% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 2.5 87.56% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 3.6% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 96.4% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Canada 28.76%
Draw 28.96%
Morocco 42.31%
Canada
1-0 @ 10.71% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 28.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.15% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.4% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.96%
Morocco
0-1 @ 13.91% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 42.31%

Head to Head

World Cup
Canada
Dec 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Morocco
  • Nayef Aguerd 40' goal
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 4'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 23'

Form Data

South Africa 0 - 1 Canada
Switzerland 2 - 1 Canada
Canada 6 - 0 Qatar
Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia H'vina
Canada 1 - 1 Rep. Ireland
Canada 2 - 0 Uzbekistan
Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco
Morocco 4 - 2 Haiti
Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco
Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco
Morocco 1 - 1 Norway
Morocco 4 - 0 Madagascar

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