World Cup
Jul 4, 2026 6.00pm
Houston Stadium

Canada vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions

Morocco

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morocco win with a probability of 42.8%. A draw has a probability of 29.05% and a win for Canada has a probability of 28.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.14%) , while for a Canada win it is 1-0 (10.69%).

Result

Canada 28.15% (+0.15)
Draw 29.05% (+0.36)
Morocco 42.8% (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.05% (-0.66)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.68% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 36.32% (+0.78)
Over 2.5 36.9% (-0.86)
Under 2.5 63.1% (+0.86)
Over 3.5 17.6% (-0.60)
Under 3.5 82.4% (+0.61)
Over 4.5 8.52% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 91.48% (+0.38)

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 23.4% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 76.6% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 6.85% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 93.15% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 1.61% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.39% (+0.02)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 69.65% (-0.61)
Under 0.5 30.35% (+0.62)
Over 1.5 34.29% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 65.71% (+0.81)
Over 2.5 12.57% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 87.43% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 3.65% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 96.35% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Canada 28.16%
Draw 29.04%
Morocco 42.82%
Canada
1-0 @ 10.69% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 6.16% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.57% (-0.04)
Total : 28.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 11.55% (+0.38)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.02)
Total : 29.04%
Morocco
0-1 @ 14.1% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 8.63% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.61% (-0.23)
Total : 42.82%

Head to Head

World Cup
Dec 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Nayef Aguerd 40' goal
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 4'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 23'

Build-up

Head to head