World Cup
Jun 28, 2026 8.00pm
Los Angeles Stadium

South Africa vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Canada

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Canada win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for 2nd position Group A has a probability of 30.55% and a draw has a probability of 28.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest 2nd position Group A win is 1-0 (10.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.21%).

Result

South Africa 30.55%
Draw 28.65%
Canada 40.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.48%
Under 1.5 34.52%
Over 2.5 38.8%
Under 2.5 61.2%
Over 3.5 18.9%
Under 3.5 81.1%
Over 4.5 9.21%
Under 4.5 90.79%

South Africa Goals

Over 1.5 26.16%
Under 1.5 73.84%
Over 2.5 8.14%
Under 2.5 91.86%
Over 3.5 2.02%
Under 3.5 97.98%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 69.16%
Under 0.5 30.84%
Over 1.5 33.94%
Under 1.5 66.06%
Over 2.5 12.37%
Under 2.5 87.63%
Over 3.5 3.58%
Under 3.5 96.42%

Score analysis

South Africa 30.54%
Draw 28.65%
Canada 40.8%
South Africa
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 6.72%
2-0 @ 5.5%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 30.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 28.65%
Canada
0-1 @ 13.01%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 7.97%
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 40.8%