World Cup
Jun 28, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Los Angeles Stadium
  • yellowcard Nathan-Dylan Saliba 54'
  • yellowcard Niko Sigur 67'
  • goal Stephen Eustaquio 90'+2'

South Africa vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Feature

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Canada

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.21%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest South Africa win was 1-0 (10.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result

South Africa 29.5% (-0.70)
Draw 28.6%
Canada 41.85% (+0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.7% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.26% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 34.74% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 38.65% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 61.35% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 18.8% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 81.2% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 9.18% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 90.82% (+0.03)

South Africa Goals

Over 1.5 25.24% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 74.76% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 7.69% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 92.31% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 1.86% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 98.14% (+0.10)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 69.74% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 30.26% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 34.61% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 65.39% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 12.81% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 87.19% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 3.76% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 96.24% (-0.13)

Score analysis

South Africa 29.49%
Draw 28.61%
Canada 41.85%
South Africa
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 6.54% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.81% (-0.11)
Total : 29.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 10.78% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.05% (+0.02)
Total : 28.61%
Canada
0-1 @ 13.28% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 8.21% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 8.17% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.4% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.39% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.71% (+0.11)
Total : 41.85%

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