Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.21%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest South Africa win was 1-0 (10.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.