World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 25, 2026 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Monterrey Stadium
  • Thapelo Maseko 63' goal
  • Aubrey Modiba 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gue-sung Cho 79'

South Africa vs South Korea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 18, 2026 5.00pm
Czech Republic 1 - 1 South Africa

South Korea

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 19, 2026 2.00am
Mexico 1 - 0 South Korea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest South Africa win was 1-0 (9.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

South Africa 28.95% (-0.11)
Draw 26.8% (-0.06)
South Korea 44.2% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.4% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.38% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.62% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 44.8% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 55.2% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 23.75% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 76.25% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.5% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.5% (-0.05)

South Africa Goals

Over 1.5 27.75% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.25% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.24% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.76% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.5% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.5% (+0.02)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5 73.28% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 26.72% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.66% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 60.34% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 16.23% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 83.77% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.32% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.68% (-0.04)

Score analysis

South Africa 28.95%
Draw 26.8%
South Korea 44.2%
South Africa
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.42% (-0.02)
Total : 28.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.73% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.8%
South Korea
0-1 @ 11.89% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.75% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.22%
1-3 @ 4.07% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.81% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.24% (+0.05)
Total : 44.2%

Build-up

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