International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026 12.30am
Stade Saputo

Canada vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 2, 2026 2.00am
Canada 2 - 0 Uzbekistan

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 28, 2026 7.45pm
Rep. Ireland 1 - 0 Qatar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Canada win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw has a probability of 26.79% and a win for Republic of Ireland has a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.82%) , while for a Republic of Ireland win it is 0-1 (7.34%).

Result

Canada 56.75% (+2.16)
Draw 26.79% (-0.59)
Republic of Ireland 16.46% (-1.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.73% (-1.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.59% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 35.41% (+0.42)
Over 2.5 37.92% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 62.08% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 18.64% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 81.36% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 10.3% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 89.7% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Canada 42.11% (-1.82)
Draw 43.85% (+2.00)
Republic of Ireland 14.04% (-0.19)

Team To Score First

Canada 66.91% (+1.66)
No Goal 11.09% (+0.01)
Republic of Ireland 22% (-1.68)

Corners

Over 8 53.67% (+1.25)
Equal 8 11.81% (-0.52)
Under 8 34.52% (-0.72)
Over 9 42.03% (+1.65)
Equal 9 11.64% (-0.40)
Under 9 46.33% (-1.25)
Over 10.5 31.48% (+1.86)
Under 10.5 68.52% (-1.86)

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 44.37% (+0.95)
Under 1.5 55.63% (-0.95)
Over 2.5 19.36% (+0.81)
Under 2.5 80.64% (-0.82)
Over 3.5 6.93% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 93.07% (-0.50)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 46.85% (-2.51)
Under 0.5 53.15% (+2.51)
Over 1.5 14.58% (-1.51)
Under 1.5 85.42% (+1.52)
Over 2.5 3.37% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 96.63% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 0.71% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 99.29% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Canada 56.76%
Draw 26.78%
Republic of Ireland 16.45%
Canada
1-0 @ 16.97% (+0.90)
2-0 @ 12.22% (+0.56)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.08% (+0.63)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.16)
Other @ 6.78% (+0.48)
Total : 56.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.35)
0-0 @ 11.09% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.28)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.03)
Total : 26.78%
Republic of Ireland
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.46)
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.43)
0-2 @ 2.64% (-0.24)
Other @ 0.56% (-0.11)
Total : 16.45%