International Friendlies
May 28, 2026 7.45pm
Aviva Stadium

Republic of Ireland vs Qatar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 16, 2026 5.00pm
Rep. Ireland 5 - 0 Grenada

Qatar

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 1.00am
Qatar 0 - 0 Argentina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw has a probability of 24.76% and a win for Qatar has a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Qatar win it is 0-1 (6.69%).

Result

Republic of Ireland 56.9% (-0.61)
Draw 24.76% (+0.19)
Qatar 18.34% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.4% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.04% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.96% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 44.91% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 55.09% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 24.44% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 75.56% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 14.52% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 85.48% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Republic of Ireland 40.12% (-0.34)
Draw 42.9% (+0.06)
Qatar 16.98% (+0.29)

Team To Score First

Republic of Ireland 59.5% (-0.83)
No Goal 9.18% (+0.02)
Qatar 31.32% (+0.81)

Corners

Over 8 49.8% (+0.31)
Equal 8 11.9% (+0.06)
Under 8 38.29% (-0.36)
Over 9 38.41% (+0.24)
Equal 9 11.39% (+0.08)
Under 9 50.2% (-0.31)
Over 10.5 28.38% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 71.63% (-0.16)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 1.5 48.59% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 51.41% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 23.16% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 76.84% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 9.27% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 90.73% (+0.27)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5 50.14% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 49.86% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 18.41% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 81.59% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 5.26% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 94.74% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 1.32% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 98.68% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Republic of Ireland 56.9%
Draw 24.76%
Qatar 18.32%
Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 14.07% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.21% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.07)
Other @ 9.14% (-0.27)
Total : 56.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 9.18% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.76% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 24.76%
Qatar
0-1 @ 6.69% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.34% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 2.86% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.32% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.19% (+0.06)
Total : 18.32%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Callum Robinson 4' goal
  • Callum Robinson 13' goal
  • Callum Robinson 53' goal
  • Shane Duffy 59' goal
  • yellowcard Assim Madibo 85'
International Friendlies
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mohammed Muntari 47' goal
  • goal James McClean 4'
  • yellowcard Gavin Bazunu 7'
  • yellowcard Jason Knight 89'