World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 18, 2026 11.00pm
Vancouver Stadium

Canada vs Qatar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 12, 2026 8.00pm
Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia H'vina

Qatar

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 13, 2026 8.00pm
Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Canada win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw has a probability of 27.4% and a win for Qatar has a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a Qatar win it is 0-1 (8.53%).

Result

Canada 53.15% (+1.00)
Draw 27.4% (+0.20)
Qatar 19.5% (-1.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.45% (-1.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.21% (-1.23)
Under 1.5 36.79% (+1.23)
Over 2.5 36.45% (-1.25)
Under 2.5 63.55% (+1.25)
Over 3.5 17.3% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 82.7% (+0.80)
Over 4.5 8.98% (-0.37)
Under 4.5 91.02% (+0.37)

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 41.03% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 58.97% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 16.95% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.05% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.59% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.41% (-0.04)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5 49.13% (-1.87)
Under 0.5 50.87% (+1.87)
Over 1.5 16.06% (-1.49)
Under 1.5 83.94% (+1.49)
Over 2.5 3.8% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 96.2% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 0.73% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 99.27% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Canada 53.16%
Draw 27.4%
Qatar 19.5%
Canada
1-0 @ 16.51% (+0.71)
2-0 @ 11.61% (+0.42)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 5.44% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.10)
Other @ 5.56% (+0.03)
Total : 53.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 11.81% (+0.63)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.21)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 27.4%
Qatar
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.34)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.24)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.7% (-0.17)
Total : 19.5%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 23, 2022 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT BMO Field
  • goal Cyle Larin 4'
  • goal Jonathan David 13'