Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.