World Cup
Jun 30, 2026 2.00am
1
1
ET Monterrey Stadium
  • Cody Gakpo 72' goal
  • yellowcard Issa Diop 47'
  • goal Issa Diop 90'+1'

Netherlands vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions

Morocco

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Netherlands 42.3% (+2.10)
Draw 25.93% (-1.08)
Morocco 31.77% (-0.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.67% (+3.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.11% (+3.25)
Under 1.5 25.89% (-3.25)
Over 2.5 49.67% (+4.38)
Under 2.5 50.33% (-4.38)
Over 3.5 28.1% (+4.00)
Under 3.5 71.9% (-4.00)
Over 4.5 15.53% (+2.95)
Under 4.5 84.47% (-2.96)

Corners

Over 8 47.46% (+47.46)
Equal 8 11.35% (+11.35)
Under 8 41.19% (+41.19)
Over 9 36.77% (+36.78)
Equal 9 10.7% (+10.70)
Under 9 52.54% (+52.54)
Over 10.5 27.45% (+27.45)
Under 10.5 72.55% (+72.55)

Netherlands Goals

Over 1.5 41% (+4.01)
Under 1.5 59% (-4.01)
Over 2.5 17.59% (+3.08)
Under 2.5 82.41% (-3.08)
Over 3.5 6.17% (+1.62)
Under 3.5 93.83% (-1.61)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 66.04% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 33.96% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 32.4% (+1.28)
Under 1.5 67.6% (-1.29)
Over 2.5 11.95% (+0.95)
Under 2.5 88.05% (-0.96)
Over 3.5 3.58% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 96.42% (-0.46)

Score analysis

Netherlands 42.31%
Draw 25.94%
Morocco 31.75%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.91)
2-1 @ 8.7% (+0.29)
2-0 @ 7.17% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.24% (+0.52)
3-0 @ 3.45% (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.44)
Other @ 6.02% (+1.55)
Total : 42.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.60)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-1.19)
2-2 @ 5.34% (+0.43)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.15% (+0.06)
Total : 25.94%
Morocco
0-1 @ 8.57% (-1.11)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.46)
1-3 @ 3% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.2% (+0.28)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.12)
Other @ 3.43% (+0.40)
Total : 31.75%

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