World Cup
Jul 5, 2026 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT New York New Jersey Stadium
  • Neymar  90'+6' yellowcard
  • Neymar  90'+10' goal
  • goal Erling Haaland 79'
  • goal Erling Haaland 90'

Brazil vs Norway - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

Norway

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Norway had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Norway win was 0-1 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Brazil 46.8% (-0.31)
Draw 25.25%
Norway 27.9% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.3% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.05% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 25.95% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 49.25% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 50.75% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 27.4% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 72.6% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 15.09% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 84.91% (+0.12)

Brazil Goals

Over 1.5 43.99% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 56.01% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 19.44% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 80.56% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 6.92% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 93.08% (+0.13)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 62.43% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 37.57% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 28.77% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 71.23% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 9.94% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.06% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.81% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Brazil 46.79%
Draw 25.25%
Norway 27.9%
Brazil
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.81% (-0.12)
Total : 46.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 7.12% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 25.25%
Norway
0-1 @ 7.88% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.71% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.45% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.55% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.7% (+0.04)
Total : 27.9%

Build-up

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