Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 58.93% | 21.87% | 19.2% |
| Both teams to score 54.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% | 43.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.66% | 66.34% |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% | 14.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.36% | 42.64% |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.28% | 36.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% | 73.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.93% 3-1 @ 6.38% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 3.07% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.75% Total : 58.93% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 5.35% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.86% | 0-1 @ 5.36% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.59% Total : 19.2% |


