Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
