Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Mar 20, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Haverfordwest

Horan (45+1'), Wilde (59')
Disney (52'), Harrison (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Watts (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Haverfordwest County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawHaverfordwest County
66.4%19.46%14.14%
Both teams to score 51.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.56%42.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16%64.84%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1%11.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.77%37.23%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.94%42.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.51%78.48%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 66.38%
    Haverfordwest County 14.14%
    Draw 19.46%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawHaverfordwest County
2-0 @ 11.33%
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 6.97%
4-0 @ 4.28%
4-1 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.02%
5-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 66.38%
1-1 @ 9.23%
0-0 @ 5%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 19.46%
0-1 @ 4.33%
1-2 @ 4%
0-2 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.23%
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.14%