Caernarfon
2 - 0
Barry

Kenny (81'), Jones (86')
Thomas (17'), Mendes (62'), Edwards (68'), Kenny (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Barry Town United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Barry Town United
47.42%	23.87%	28.71%

Both teams to score 58.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.85%

43.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.45%

65.55%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63%

18.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.51%

49.49%

Barry Town United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87%

28.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2%

63.8%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 47.42%

Barry Town United 28.71%

Draw 23.87%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Barry Town United
2-1 @ 9.41% 1-0 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.51% Total : 47.42%	1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 7.04% 0-1 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.71%