Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.