Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
May 1, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park
Bala Town logo

Barry
1 - 4
Bala Town

Jarvis (11')
Green (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kay (11'), Venables (34', 50', 90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawBala Town
29.57%23.3%47.13%
Both teams to score 61.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.05%39.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.69%62.3%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07%25.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08%60.92%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76%17.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46%47.54%
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 29.57%
    Bala Town 47.13%
    Draw 23.29%
Barry Town UnitedDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 7.16%
1-0 @ 6.03%
2-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 29.57%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.47%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-1 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 5.46%
0-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 3.69%
1-4 @ 2.4%
0-4 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.62%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 47.13%