Progreso
1 - 3
Liverpool

Barboza (83')
Marta (20'), Barboza (46'), Arias (58'), Bentaberry (80')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Martinez (11'), Marta (38' og.), Garcia (81')
Diaz (6'), Rosso (71')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Liverpool.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Liverpool
19.79%	24%	56.21%

Both teams to score 48.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48%

52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.26%

73.74%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.26%

40.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.68%

77.32%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.65%

18.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.54%

49.46%

Score Analysis

Progreso 19.79%

Liverpool 56.2%

Draw 23.99%

Progreso	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 6.71% 2-1 @ 5.11% 2-0 @ 3.01% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.23% Total : 19.79%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 12.67% 0-2 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 5.46% 0-4 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.24% Total : 56.2%