Wanderers

2 - 0

Progreso

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.