Fenix

1 - 1

Progreso

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Fenix win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.