Defensor0 - 2Torque
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 33.16% | 25.82% | 41.02% |
| Both teams to score 54.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.14% | 49.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% | 71.85% |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% | 28.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% | 64.29% |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% | 24.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.68% | 58.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.16% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.02% |


