Defensor

4 - 2

Maldonado

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.