World Cup Qualifying - South America
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Rodrigo Bentancur
26'
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Rodrigo Bentancur
26'
-
Rodrigo Aguirre
37'
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Rodrigo Aguirre
37'
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Davinson Sanchez
57'
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Davinson Sanchez
57'
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Rodrigo Aguirre
60'
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Rodrigo Aguirre
60'
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Federico Valverde
69'
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Federico Valverde
69'
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Nahitan Nandez
80'
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Nahitan Nandez
80'
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Manuel Ugarte
90'+11'
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Manuel Ugarte
90'+11'
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Juan Quintero
25'
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Juan Quintero
25'
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Juan Quintero
31'
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Juan Quintero
31'
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Jhon Duran
58'
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Jhon Duran
58'
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Andres Gomez
90'+6'
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Andres Gomez
90'+6'
Uruguay vs Colombia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 41.72%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 28.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
Result
Uruguay
41.72%
▼
(-0.63)
Draw
29.69%
▼
(-0.07)
Colombia
28.58%
▲
(+0.69)
Both Teams to Score:
41.49%
▲
(+0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5
34.81%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 2.5
65.19%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 3.5
15.98%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 3.5
84.02%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 4.5
6.13%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
93.87%
▼
(-0.16)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
69.09%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
30.91%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
32.79%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
67.2%
▲
(+0.18)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5
60.05%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 0.5
39.94%
▼
(-0.82)
Over 1.5
23.4%
▲
(+0.74)
Under 1.5
76.6%
▼
(-0.74)
Score analysis
Uruguay
41.72%
Draw
29.68%
Colombia
28.58%
Uruguay
1-0
@
14.49%
▼
(-0.28)
2-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.21)
2-1 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 41.72%
2-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.21)
2-1 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 41.72%
Draw
1-1
@
13.3%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 12.34% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.68%
0-0 @ 12.34% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.68%
Colombia
0-1
@
11.33%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 28.58%
1-2 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 28.58%
Head to Head
-
Nicolas de la Cruz
26'
-
Nicolas de la Cruz
26'
-
Guillermo Varela
63'
-
Guillermo Varela
63'
-
Jose Gimenez
69'
-
Jose Gimenez
69'
-
Guillermo Varela
90'+8'
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Daniel Munoz
31'
-
Daniel Munoz
31'
-
Jefferson Lerma
39'
-
Jefferson Lerma
39'
-
Daniel Munoz
45'+1'
-
Daniel Munoz
45'+1'
-
James Rodriguez
55'
-
James Rodriguez
55'
-
Kevin Castano
90'+6'
-
Kevin Castano
90'+6'
-
Carlos Cuesta
90'+7'
-
Carlos Cuesta
90'+7'