Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Slavutych Arena

Luhansk
P-P
Mariupol

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Mariupol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

Last Six:
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-1 Luhansk
Sunday, December 12 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Mariupol

Last Six:
Last Game: Mariupol 0-3 Dnipro-1
Friday, December 10 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (6.8%).

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawMariupol
54.3%24.14%21.56%
Both teams to score 50.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.51%50.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.58%72.42%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5%18.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.28%49.72%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.97%38.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.2%74.79%
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 54.29%
    Mariupol 21.56%
    Draw 24.13%
Zorya LuhanskDrawMariupol
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.8%
1-2 @ 5.55%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 21.56%

Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 3pm
Mariupol
3-4
Luhansk
Kulakov (47'), Svityukha (79'), Mykytyshyn (89')
Klymenko (41'), Mampasi (44'), Shostak (50'), Myshnyov (90+2')
Nazaryna (22'), Zahedi (28', 60'), Hladkyy (32')
Khomchenovskiy (27'), Kabaiev (66'), Cvek (78'), Lunyov (82'), Owusu (90+3'), Matsapura (90+5')
Feb 20, 2021 12pm
Mariupol
0-1
Luhansk

Tankovskiy (60'), Chekh (73')
Zahedi (34')
Zahedi (39'), Hladkyy (51'), Vasilj (90+3')
Sep 13, 2020 3pm
Luhansk
0-1
Mariupol

Cvek (11'), Abu Hanna (37')
Topalov (62')
Chobotenko (40'), Kyryukhantsev (58'), Ihnatenko (68')
Feb 22, 2020 12pm
Mariupol
1-2
Luhansk
Myshnyov (69')
Chekh (44'), Polehenko (59'), Ihnatenko (66'), Bykov (88')
Perovic (62'), Lednev (67')
Cheberko (5'), Yurchenko (28'), Perovic (40'), Lednev (45'), Tymchyk (86'), Vernydub (88')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Luhansk
0-0
Mariupol

Budkivskyi (6'), Tymchyk (48'), Mykhaylichenko (75'), Ivanisenia (90')
Budkivskyi (39')

Fedorchuk (27'), Bykov (92')
Fedorchuk (32')