Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 21, 2021 at 3pm UK
Butovsky Vorskla Stadium

Vorskla
5 - 1
Mariupol

Thill (16', 22'), Pesic (66'), Tamm (79'), Stepanyuk (83')
Kane (26'), Chelyadin (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Topalov (62')
Bosancic (20'), Mykytsey (81')
Peterman (60')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawMariupol
49.92%25.29%24.79%
Both teams to score 50.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97%52.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24%73.77%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14%20.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45%53.55%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12%35.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34%72.66%
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 49.92%
    Mariupol 24.79%
    Draw 25.29%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawMariupol
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 9.19%
3-1 @ 4.92%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 49.92%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 7.48%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.67%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 24.79%