Shakhtar

2 - 1

Inhulets

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 67.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 12.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.