Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Mar 6, 2021 at 12pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium

Mariupol
0 - 1
Vorskla


Tankovskiy (56'), Kulakov (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kulach (35' pen.)
Kane (21'), Sklyar (39')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Vorskla Poltava.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vorskla Poltava in this match.

Result
MariupolDrawVorskla Poltava
29.6%25.84%44.57%
Both teams to score 52.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81%51.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97%73.04%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39%31.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99%68.01%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11%22.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.35%56.65%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 29.6%
    Vorskla Poltava 44.56%
    Draw 25.83%
MariupolDrawVorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 8.34%
2-1 @ 7.08%
2-0 @ 4.8%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2%
3-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.6%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-2 @ 7.86%
1-3 @ 4.45%
0-3 @ 3.86%
2-3 @ 2.56%
1-4 @ 1.64%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.56%