Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 16
Feb 27, 2021 at 12pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium

Mariupol
2 - 2
Dnipro-1

Melichenko (35'), Kulakov (86')
Chobotenko (12'), Stasyuk (50'), Bondarenko (65'), Bykov (69'), Drambayev (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Douglas (13'), Dovbyk (61' pen.)
Douglas (6'), Nazarenko (10'), Taylor (88')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Dnipro-1.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
MariupolDrawDnipro-1
27.29%23.54%49.17%
Both teams to score 58.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.4%42.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35%65.01%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15%28.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29%64.71%
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.52%17.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.04%47.96%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 27.3%
    Dnipro-1 49.17%
    Draw 23.54%
MariupolDrawDnipro-1
2-1 @ 6.8%
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 3.9%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 27.3%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-1 @ 8.8%
0-2 @ 7.67%
1-3 @ 5.54%
0-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.42%
0-4 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 49.17%