Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Jul 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin
Desna5 - 1Kovalivka
Budkivskyi (9'), Favorov (37', 78' pen.), Starenkyi (87'), Totovytsky (90+1')
Favorov (31'), Totovytsky (85')
Favorov (31'), Totovytsky (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kozhushko (89')
Morozko (21'), Bogdanov (43'), Zozulya (77'), Kostyshyn (90+1')
Morozko (21'), Bogdanov (43'), Zozulya (77'), Kostyshyn (90+1')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Kolos Kovalivka.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Desna Chernihiv | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 48.89% | 25.5% | 25.61% |
| Both teams to score 50.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
