Sweden U21s
4 - 0
Luxembourg U21s

Karlsson (22' pen., 33'), Svensson (31'), Beijmo (72')
Erlingmark (74')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Bernardy (22'), Schaus (58'), D'Anzico (88')
Dublin (19')

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Sweden Under-21s and Luxembourg Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Under-21s win with a probability of 74.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Luxembourg Under-21s had a probability of 9.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Luxembourg Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Sweden Under-21s	Draw	Luxembourg Under-21s
74.7%	15.44%	9.86%

Both teams to score 51.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.28%

34.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.32%

56.68%

Sweden Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.14%

7.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.14%

27.86%

Luxembourg Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.9%

44.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.8%

80.2%

Score Analysis

Sweden Under-21s 74.69%

Luxembourg Under-21s 9.86%

Draw 15.44%

Sweden Under-21s	Draw	Luxembourg Under-21s
2-0 @ 11.21% 3-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 7.78% 4-0 @ 6.05% 4-1 @ 4.95% 3-2 @ 3.19% 5-0 @ 3.08% 5-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.03% 6-0 @ 1.3% 6-1 @ 1.07% 5-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.99% Total : 74.69%	1-1 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 3.76% 0-0 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.99% Total : 15.44%	1-2 @ 2.96% 0-1 @ 2.84% 0-2 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.88% Total : 9.86%