Estonia U21s
0 - 6
Poland U21s

Jarviste (56'), Soomets (71')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Bogusz (4'), Klimala (15'), Kaminski (34'), Gumny (47'), Placheta (58'), Tomczyk (81')
Kowalczyk (61'), Slisz (70')

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Estonia Under-21s and Poland Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland Under-21s win with a probability of 71.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Estonia Under-21s had a probability of 11.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Estonia Under-21s win it was 1-0 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Estonia Under-21s	Draw	Poland Under-21s
11.48%	17.42%	71.11%

Both teams to score 50.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.46%

39.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.11%

61.9%

Estonia Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.6%

44.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.55%

80.45%

Poland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.12%

9.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.25%

32.75%

Score Analysis

Estonia Under-21s 11.48%

Poland Under-21s 71.1%

Draw 17.42%

Estonia Under-21s	Draw	Poland Under-21s
1-0 @ 3.56% 2-1 @ 3.35% 2-0 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.05% 3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.17% Total : 11.48%	1-1 @ 8.24% 0-0 @ 4.39% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.42%	0-2 @ 11.75% 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 9.07% 1-3 @ 7.36% 0-4 @ 5.25% 1-4 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 2.99% 0-5 @ 2.43% 1-5 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.73% 0-6 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.66% Total : 71.1%