Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Tabua
Mafra

Oliveira Hospital
1 - 0
Mafra

Souza (72' pen.)
Bras Rodrigues (23'), Soeiro Mendes Caldeira (85'), Ramon de Lima Oliveira (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Freitas (47'), Pereira Baptista (90+4')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Oliveira Hospital and Mafra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oliveira Hospital

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Last Game: Vilaverdense 7-0 Oliveira Hospital
Tuesday, November 8 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
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Mafra

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Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Mafra
Saturday, August 3 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mafra win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Oliveira Hospital had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mafra win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Oliveira Hospital win it was 1-0 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Oliveira HospitalDrawMafra
25.7% (0.23 0.23)25.96% (0.098999999999997 0.1)48.34% (-0.331 -0.33)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-0.215 -0.21)53.94% (0.213 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.179 -0.18)75.39% (0.179 0.18)
Oliveira Hospital Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87% (0.082000000000001 0.08)36.13% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09% (0.084 0.08)72.91% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Mafra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (-0.23599999999999 -0.24)22.33% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (-0.357 -0.36)55.81% (0.356 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Oliveira Hospital 25.7%
    Mafra 48.33%
    Draw 25.95%
Oliveira HospitalDrawMafra
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.27% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.18% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.13% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 25.7%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 12.09% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.07% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.53% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.33%