St Gallen
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 31
Jul 16, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
kybunpark
Luzern

St Gallen
4 - 1
Luzern

Ribeiro (10'), Itten (27', 29'), Quintilla (49' pen.)
Ruiz (32'), Fazliji (64'), Hefti (88')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Marleku (60')
Schulz (28'), Mistrafovic (55'), Eleke (70'), Binous (76')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between St Gallen and Luzern.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Luzern win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.

Result
St GallenDrawLuzern
60.1%20.83%19.06%
Both teams to score 57.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.53%39.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.19%61.81%
St Gallen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.23%12.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.95%39.04%
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76%34.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06%70.94%
Score Analysis
    St Gallen 60.1%
    Luzern 19.06%
    Draw 20.83%
St GallenDrawLuzern
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.26%
1-0 @ 9%
3-1 @ 6.81%
3-0 @ 6.35%
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 3.51%
4-0 @ 3.27%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 5.32%
0-0 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-1 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 19.06%