Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.