Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 40.5%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Extremadura had a probability of 28.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.81%), while for a Extremadura win it was 1-0 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cadiz in this match.