Alcorcon
1 - 2
Leganes

Nwakali (9' pen.)
Garcia (22'), Aguilera (32'), Gual (69'), Nwakali (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Shibasaki (44'), Arnaiz (60')
Riesgo (8'), Shibasaki (29'), Eraso (56'), Arnaiz (83')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alcorcon and Leganes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
Alcorcon	Draw	Leganes
31.08%	29.85%	39.07%

Both teams to score 42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.98%

65.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.09%

83.9%

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.13%

37.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.36%

74.64%

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59%

32.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08%

68.92%

Score Analysis

Alcorcon 31.07%

Leganes 39.06%

Draw 29.84%

Alcorcon	Draw	Leganes
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 6.52% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.68% Total : 31.07%	1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 12.27% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.84%	0-1 @ 13.82% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-3 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.74% Total : 39.06%