Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3

May 2, 2021 at 12pm UK

Ibrox Stadium

Rangers
4 - 1
Celtic

Roofe (26', 57'), Morelos (33'), Defoe (90+2')
Simpson (17')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Edouard (30')
McGregor (24'), Elyounoussi (63')
McGregor (26')

Reaction

Celtic manager John Kennedy pictured on March 21, 2021

John Kennedy blames referee over red card in Old Firm loss

Nick Welsh sent off Callum McGregor following a foul in the build-up to Rangers' opener which earned him a second yellow card.

May 2, 15:13

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Celtic win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
Rangers	Draw	Celtic
47.95%	24.41%	27.64%

Both teams to score 56.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77%

46.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48%

68.52%

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64%

19.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.85%

51.15%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.52%

30.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.31%

66.69%

Score Analysis

Rangers 47.95%

Celtic 27.64%

Draw 24.4%

Rangers	Draw	Celtic
1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.09% Total : 47.95%	1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 7.01% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.04% Total : 27.64%