Scottish Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Somerset Park

Ayr United vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
Ayr 0 - 1 St Johnstone

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
Dunfermline 0 - 0 Arbroath

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw has a probability of 24.31% and a win for Arbroath has a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.8%) , while for a Arbroath win it is 0-1 (6.91%).

Result

Ayr United 56.48%
Draw 24.31%
Arbroath 19.21%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.39%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.62%
Under 1.5 28.38%
Over 2.5 45.94%
Under 2.5 54.06%
Over 3.5 24.46%
Under 3.5 75.54%
Over 4.5 13.75%
Under 4.5 86.25%

First Half Winner

Ayr United 38.89%
Draw 42.19%
Arbroath 18.93%

Team To Score First

Ayr United 60.52%
No Goal 7.87%
Arbroath 31.61%

Corners

Over 8 59.22%
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 28.99%
Over 9 47.06%
Equal 9 12.16%
Under 9 40.78%
Over 10.5 35.64%
Under 10.5 64.36%

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 48.6%
Under 1.5 51.4%
Over 2.5 22.09%
Under 2.5 77.91%
Over 3.5 8.33%
Under 3.5 91.67%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 53.77%
Under 0.5 46.23%
Over 1.5 19.64%
Under 1.5 80.36%
Over 2.5 4.9%
Under 2.5 95.1%
Over 3.5 1.27%
Under 3.5 98.73%

Score analysis

Ayr United 56.49%
Draw 24.33%
Arbroath 19.2%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 13.62%
2-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 10.32%
3-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 8.32%
Total : 56.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 7.87%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.33%
Arbroath
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 4.8%
0-2 @ 3%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 19.2%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Shaun Want 46' yellowcard
  • Jamie Murphy 77' goal
  • Lucas McRoberts 82' yellowcard
  • Dylan Watret 90' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hislop 90' yellowcard
  • Dylan Watret 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hislop 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Flynn 64'
  • yellowcard Jacob MacIntyre 64'
  • yellowcard Gavin Reilly 64'
  • yellowcard Ryan Flynn 65'
  • yellowcard Jacob MacIntyre 65'
  • yellowcard Gavin Reilly 65'
  • yellowcard Dapo Mebude 82'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 25
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Ryan Dow 46' yellowcard
  • Harry Cochrane 55' yellowcard
  • Gavin Reilly 67' yellowcard
  • Findlay Marshall 74' goal
  • Dapo Mebude 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Ure 61'
  • yellowcard Nicholas McAllister 61'
  • yellowcard J. Bonnar 73'
  • yellowcard Marco Rus 73'
  • yellowcard F. Turley 85'
  • goal Anton Dowds 86'
Scottish Championship
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 1, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Jul 19, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Kurt Willoughby 24' goal
  • Frankie Musonda 32' goal
  • Anton Dowds 41' goal
  • Ben Dempsey 68' goal
  • Logan Chalmers 90' goal
  • yellowcard David Gold 27'
  • yellowcard Leighton McIntosh 59'