Scottish League Cup Gameweek 5
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
Somerset Park

Ayr United vs Alloa Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 2 - 0 Edinburgh

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Alloa 1 - 1 Falkirk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw has a probability of 22.87% and a win for Alloa Athletic has a probability of 20.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.47%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Alloa Athletic win it is 1-2 (5.69%).

Result

Ayr United 56.19%
Draw 22.87%
Alloa Athletic 20.94%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.81% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.19% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 55.24%
Under 2.5 44.76%
Over 3.5 32.18%
Under 3.5 67.82%
Over 4.5 19.49%
Under 4.5 80.51%

First Half Winner

Ayr United 41.86%
Draw 39.72%
Alloa Athletic 18.42%

Team To Score First

Ayr United 63.89% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.87%
Alloa Athletic 30.24% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.9%
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 26.79% (-0.02)
Over 9 50% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 38.1%
Over 10.5 38.55%
Under 10.5 61.45%

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 53.52%
Under 1.5 46.48%
Over 2.5 27.27%
Under 2.5 72.73%
Over 3.5 11.14%
Under 3.5 88.86%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 57.37% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 42.63% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25%
Under 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 8.38%
Under 2.5 91.62%
Over 3.5 2.53%
Under 3.5 97.47%

Score analysis

Ayr United 56.19%
Draw 22.87%
Alloa Athletic 20.94%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.72%
2-1 @ 10.47%
2-0 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 5.78%
3-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 10.91%
Total : 56.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87%
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.87%
Alloa Athletic
1-2 @ 5.69%
0-1 @ 5.6%
0-2 @ 2.8%
1-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 20.94%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 29, 2023 3.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Fraser Bryden 14' goal
  • Nick McAllister 37' goal
  • Jamie Murphy 45'+1' goal
  • Fraser Bryden 62' goal
  • Oli Pendlebury 70' goal
  • Ahkeem Rose 84' goal
  • redcard Steven Hetherington 73'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Innes Cameron 31' goal
  • Lucas Williamson 46' goal
  • Liam Dick 59' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Walsh 15'
  • yellowcard Jack Baird 26'
  • yellowcard Michael Moffat 34'
  • goal Jon Robertson 76' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jamie Barjonas 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 12
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Tom Walsh 6' goal
  • Luke McCowan 30' goal
  • Aaron Muirhead 62' goal
  • Luke McCowan 69' goal
  • goal Alan Trouten 11'
  • yellowcard Edin Lynch 59'
  • yellowcard Steven Hetherington 61'
  • yellowcard Innes Cameron 67'
  • yellowcard Nicky Jamieson 84'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 6
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alan Trouten 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cammy Smith 37'
  • goal Luke McCowan 38'
  • goal Andy Murdoch 60'
  • yellowcard Joe Chalmers 74'
  • redcard Cammy Smith 84'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 33
Apr 11, 2020 3.00pm
Somerset Park
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 29, 2020 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Indodrill Stadium
  • Robert Thomson 13' yellowcard
  • Steven Hetherington 62' yellowcard
  • goal Steven Bell 9'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 73'
  • goal Alan Forrest 82'