Scottish League Cup Gameweek 3
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Somerset Park

Ayr United vs Edinburgh City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 14, 2026 7.45pm
Falkirk 0 - 1 Ayr

Edinburgh City

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 14, 2026 7.45pm
Edinburgh 2 - 0 Alloa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 80%. A draw has a probability of 13.65% and a win for Edinburgh City has a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (11.27%) and 1-0 (11.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.52%) , while for a Edinburgh City win it is 0-1 (2.99%).

Result

Ayr United 80% (+0.02)
Draw 13.65% (-0.01)
Edinburgh City 6.38% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.92% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.98% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.02% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 59.98% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 40.02% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 39.03% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 60.97% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 30.57% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 69.43% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Ayr United 58.74% (-0.08)
Draw 31.62% (+0.07)
Edinburgh City 9.64% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Ayr United 77.95%
No Goal 5%
Edinburgh City 17.05%

Corners

Over 8 61.57% (+0.36)
Equal 8 11.51% (-0.09)
Under 8 26.92% (-0.26)
Over 9 49.46% (+0.42)
Equal 9 12.11% (-0.07)
Under 9 38.43% (-0.36)
Over 10.5 37.84% (+0.43)
Under 10.5 62.16% (-0.43)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 71.28% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.72% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.85% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.15% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 28.22%
Under 3.5 71.78%

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5 31.39% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 68.61% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 7.42% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 92.58% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 0.58% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 99.42% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 0.14%
Under 3.5 99.86%

Score analysis

Ayr United 79.99%
Draw 13.66%
Edinburgh City 6.38%
Ayr United
2-0 @ 13.1%
3-0 @ 11.27%
1-0 @ 11.06%
2-1 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 6.35%
3-2 @ 1.89%
Other @ 28.21%
Total : 79.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 5%
2-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 13.66%
Edinburgh City
0-1 @ 2.99%
1-2 @ 1.57%
0-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 6.38%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 13, 2021 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Tomi Adeloye 37' goal
  • Tomi Adeloye 49' goal
  • Andy Murdoch 84' goal