Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.