Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.