Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.64% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Montrose win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.