Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.