Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.