Scottish League Cup Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Gayfield Park

Arbroath vs Montrose - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 7.00pm
Dundee Utd 3 - 0 Arbroath

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Stirling 0 - 2 Montrose

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arbroath win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Montrose has a probability of 28.93% and a draw has a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arbroath win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Montrose win is 0-1 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.29%).

Result

Arbroath 47.12% (+0.15)
Draw 23.95% (+0.01)
Montrose 28.93% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.19% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.07% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 22.93% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 54.23% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 45.77% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 31.07% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 68.93% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 18.55% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.45% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Arbroath 34.25% (+0.01)
Draw 37.54% (+0.02)
Montrose 28.21% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Arbroath 51.53% (-0.05)
No Goal 6.25% (+0.05)
Montrose 42.22% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.38% (+0.25)
Equal 8 12.07% (+0.04)
Under 8 33.55% (-0.29)
Over 9 42.42% (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.97% (+0.06)
Under 9 45.62% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 31.56% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 68.44% (-0.16)

Arbroath Goals

Over 1.5 46.28%
Under 1.5 53.72%
Over 2.5 22.03% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.97% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.27% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.73% (-0.04)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5 63.99% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 36.01% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 31.28% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 68.72% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 11.92% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 88.08% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 3.78% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 96.22% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Arbroath 47.12%
Draw 23.95%
Montrose 28.93%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 9.56% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.31% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.19% (+0.04)
Total : 47.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.25% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.01)
Total : 23.95%
Montrose
0-1 @ 7.12% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.7% (-0.05)
Total : 28.93%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 32
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Links Park
  • Aidan Quinn 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 10'
  • goal Ryan Flynn 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Sam Stanton 64'
  • yellowcard Ryan Flynn 67'
  • yellowcard Aaron Steele 85'
Scottish League One Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Alasdair Spalding 21' goal
  • Jack Wilkie 57' yellowcard
  • Thomas O'Brien 65' goal
  • David Gold 78' yellowcard
  • Fraser Taylor 84' goal
  • yellowcard Blair McKenzie 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Links Park
  • Paul Watson 4' goal
  • Graham Webster 22' yellowcard
  • Graham Webster 54' redcard
  • Aidan Quinn 78' yellowcard
  • Kane Hester 84' yellowcard
  • Cameron Gill 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Dow 80'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 90'+6'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Thomas O'Brien 23' goal
  • Scott Stewart 29' goal
  • Jack Wilkie 32' yellowcard
  • Liam Callaghan 82' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Steeves 50'
Scottish League One Gameweek 2
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Jack Wilkie 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Terry Masson 39'
  • yellowcard Michael Gardyne 58'
  • redcard Michael Gardyne 60'
  • yellowcard Andrew Steeves 62'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 29, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Leighton McIntosh 12' goal
  • Kenan Dunnwald 70' goal
  • Jay Bird 79' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Steeves 77'