Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.