Russian Premier League
Aug 22, 2026 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Darko Todorovic 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Rybchinskiy 35'
  • yellowcard Jhon Alex Palacios 67'
  • yellowcard Aleksey Tataev 79'

Fakel vs Orenburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 2.15pm
CSKA 1 - 0 Fakel

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 3.00pm
Orenburg 1 - 1 Lokomotiv

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fakel win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Orenburg has a probability of 31.65% and a draw has a probability of 28.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Orenburg win is 0-1 (8.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.87%).

Result

Fakel 40.33% (-0.04)
Draw 28.02%
Orenburg 31.65% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.32% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.48% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.52% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.18% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 52.82% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.73% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.27% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.84% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.16% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Fakel 31.63% (+0.01)
Draw 48.41% (+0.01)
Orenburg 19.96% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Fakel 54.93%
No Goal 8.42%
Orenburg 36.65%

Corners

Over 8 50.61%
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 37.75%
Over 9 39.4%
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 49.39%
Over 10.5 29.43%
Under 10.5 70.57%

Fakel Goals

Over 1.5 38.55% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 61.45% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 15.48% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.52% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.09% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.91% (+0.01)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5 65.68% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.32% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32%
Under 1.5 68%
Over 2.5 11.98%
Under 2.5 88.02%
Over 3.5 3.72%
Under 3.5 96.28%

Score analysis

Fakel 40.34%
Draw 28.02%
Orenburg 31.65%
Fakel
1-0 @ 10.56% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.17%
Other @ 4.78% (-0.01)
Total : 40.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.87% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 28.02%
Orenburg
0-1 @ 8.55% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.38% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 31.65%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 21
Mar 15, 2025 9.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Ivan Basic 21' yellowcard
  • Aleksey Tataev 68' yellowcard
  • 75' goal
  • Maksim Savelyev 86' goal
  • Maksim Savelyev 89' yellowcard
  • Sergey Bozhin 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Andrey Ivlev 44'
  • redcard Dylan Mertens 53'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 67'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 6
Aug 24, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Mohamed Brahimi 36' yellowcard
  • Maks Dziov 48' yellowcard
  • Nikolai Giorgobiani 62' goal
  • Vitaliy Gudiev 87' yellowcard
  • Sergey Bozhin 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Basic 16'
  • yellowcard Andrey Malykh 28'
  • yellowcard Maksim Sidorov 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Danila Prokhin 80'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2024 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Ilnur Alshin 4' yellowcard
  • 47' goal
  • Ruslan Magal 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yaroslav Mikhailov 29'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 10.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Ivan Basic 17' yellowcard
  • Renato Gojkovic 33' yellowcard
  • Braian Mansilla 63' yellowcard
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 76' goal
  • Nikolay Sysuev 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ilnur Alshin 35'
  • yellowcard Yevgeni Markov 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Vladislav Masternoy 74'
  • goal Nichita Motpan 90'+2'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Georgy Gongadze 32' goal
  • goal Aleksandr Ektov 23'
  • goal Braian Mansilla 45'+5'
  • goal Kirill Kaplenko 61'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Jimmy Marin 42' goal
  • Jimmy Marin 44' goal
  • Cesar Florentin 57' goal
  • Braian Mansilla 83' goal
  • goal Maksim Maksimov 86'