Club Friendlies 3
Rostov
Jul 15, 2026 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rostov Arena
Fakel

Rostov vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rostov

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 4.00pm
Krasnodar 3 - 3 Rostov

Fakel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 3.30pm
Akron 1 - 1 Fakel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 40.16%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 27.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.7%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%) , while for a Rostov win it was 1-0 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Rostov 27.64% ▼ (-0.20)
Draw 32.2% ▲ (+0.10)
Fakel 40.16% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.57% ▼ (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 60.96% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 39.04% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 2.5 34.52% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 65.48% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 16.77% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 83.23% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 8.53% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 91.47% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Rostov 20.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 50.49% ▲ (+0.11)
Fakel 29.45% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Rostov 38.95% ▲ (+0.10)
No Goal 14.51% ▲ (+0.11)
Fakel 46.54% ▼ (-0.21)

Corners

Over 8 44.74% ▼ (-0.23)
Equal 8 12.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 42.58% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 9 33.08% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 55.26% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 23.26% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 10.5 76.74% ▲ (+0.15)

Rostov Goals

Over 1.5 22.77% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 77.23% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 6.81% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 93.19% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.32% ▲ (+0.03)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 67.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 32.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 31.31% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 68.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11.35% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 88.65% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 3.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.44% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Rostov 27.65%
Draw 32.21%
Fakel 40.16%
Rostov
1-0 @ 10.37% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 27.65%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.51% ▲ (+0.11)
1-1 @ 13.73% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 32.21%
Fakel
0-1 @ 14.18% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 40.16%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Fakel
Jul 7, 2026 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Rostov
  • Belajdi Pusi 17' goal
  • Axel Aymeric Gnapi Dable 51' goal
  • Maksim Turishchev 65' goal
  • goal German Ignatov 11'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 25
Fakel
Apr 20, 2025 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 1 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Rostov
  • 16' goal
  • Dylan Mertens 43' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Brahimi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Igor Yurganov 61' yellowcard
  • goal Egor Golenkov 30'
  • yellowcard Ivan Komarov 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Egor Golenkov 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Khoren Bayramyan 56'
  • goal Konstantin Kuchayev 77'
  • yellowcard Oumar Sako 86'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Rostov
Sep 1, 2024 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Rostov Arena (Rostov-na-Donu)
Fakel
  • Nikolay Komlichenko 23' goal
  • Maksim Osipenko 45' goal
  • Ronaldo Cesar 72' goal
  • Egor Golenkov 84' goal
  • Eyad El Askalany 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladimir Ilyin 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rayan Senhadji 57'
  • goal Vladimir Ilyin 68'
  • yellowcard Khyzyr Appaev 82'
  • yellowcard Maks Dziov 88'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Fakel
Apr 14, 2024 2.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Rostov
  • Ihor Kalinin 6' yellowcard
  • Nichita Motpan 7' yellowcard
  • Sergey Tashuev 7' yellowcard
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 48' yellowcard
  • Ilnur Alshin 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Khoren Bayramyan 23'
  • yellowcard Oumar Sako 52'
  • goal Ronaldo Cesar 83'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Rostov
Jul 23, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rostov Arena
Fakel
  • Maksim Osipenko 39' goal
  • Daniil Utkin 45' yellowcard
  • Roman Tugarev 56' goal
  • Khoren Bayramyan 66' yellowcard
  • goal Yevgeni Markov 17'
  • yellowcard Fyodor Kudryashov 20'
  • yellowcard Yevgeni Markov 42'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mendel 58'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 58'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
Rostov
May 6, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Rostov Arena
Fakel
  • goal Roman Akbashev 46'
  • goal Khyzyr Appaev 74'

Form Data

Krasnodar 3 - 3 Rostov
Fakel 3 - 1 Rostov
Rostov 0 - 0 Dinamo Stavropol'
Rostov 0 - 1 Zenit
Akron 1 - 3 Rostov
Makhachkala 1 - 2 Rostov
Akron 1 - 1 Fakel
Fakel 3 - 1 Rostov
Sogdiana 0 - 1 Fakel
Baltika 1 - 0 Fakel
Fakel 6 - 1 Zhenys
Fakel 0 - 0 Sochi