Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 (9.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.