Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 54.46%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-2 (5.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.